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Reliability Theory / Nozick: externalized justification. - Reliability is a relation between belief (by method) and truth. - Direction: from belief to truth. - Reversed: the conditions: (connections) run from truth to belief. - A) probability that a particular method leads to belief that p is false. - This concerns the adequacy of the method. (real connection?) - (equivalent to Type II error acceptance of a wrong method) - b) probability that p is false, given this particular method. - You believe that p is false. - That is the question of the reliability - Error type I (rejecting a true hypothesis).
Philosophical Explanations Oxford 1981
The Nature of Rationality 1994