## Philosophy Lexicon of Arguments | |||

Conditional probability: probability of an event if another event is given. | |||

Author | Item | Excerpt | Meta data |
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Books on Amazon |
I 33 Conditional Probability/Cartwright: is the measure of efficiency. I 34 Conditional Probability/Harper/Gibbard/Cartwright: can be deceiving. - E.g. it is indeed the case that the owners of the insurance policy live longer, but it would be a poor strategy, to buy one in order to get a longer life. Solution/Cartwright: counterfactual conditionals - It's not about how many live longer, but the probability that a person lives longer if they buy one. - Problem: testing probability for counterfactual conditionals -> Kripke/((s) because we invent the possible worlds) - apparent conditional probability: is not a measure with linked causes. I 36 Conditional probability: elimination of causal laws. - Instead: association, common occurrence. I 42 Partial Conditional Probability/Cartwright: Important argument: it holds all and only the causal factors fixed. |
Car I N. Cartwright How the laws of physics lie Oxford New York 1983 |

> Counter arguments against **Cartwright**

> Counter arguments in relation to **Conditional Probability**

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Ed. Martin Schulz, access date 2017-05-28