## Philosophy Lexicon of Arguments | |||

Bayesianism: perceives probability as the degree of a belief. See also subjective probability, objective probability, chance, likelihood. | |||

Author | Item | Excerpt | Meta data |
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Books on Amazon |
I 304/305 Definition Bayes-Formel/Pinker: chances in two competing hypotheses can be calculated using only two numbers - 1. Initial probability: how safe is the hypothesis before any data are considered? - 2. "likelihood" assumes the hypothesis is true, how likely is it that the evidence we have actually occurs? - Then take the initial probabilities for both hypotheses and the likelihood and divide the two numbers. that is the probability of applying the first hypothesis. |
Pi I St. Pinker Wie das Denken im Kopf entsteht München 1998 |

> Counter arguments against **Pinker**

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Ed. Martin Schulz, access date 2017-05-29