Economics Dictionary of ArgumentsHome![]() | |||
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Probability: Probability is a measure of how likely an event is to occur. It is expressed as a number between 0 and 1, where 0 represents impossibility and 1 represents certainty. See also Knowledge, Certainty, Likelihood, Chance, Probability theory, Probability distribution, Probability functions._____________Annotation: The above characterizations of concepts are neither definitions nor exhausting presentations of problems related to them. Instead, they are intended to give a short introduction to the contributions below. – Lexicon of Arguments. | |||
Author | Concept | Summary/Quotes | Sources |
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Patrick Suppes on Probability - Dictionary of Arguments
Wright I 156 Probability/Suppes/Wright, G. H.: on the role of probability in a causal analysis (P. Suppes, A Probabilistic Theory of Causality, Amsterdam, 1970). Suppes defines the concept of cause with reference to probability (p. 12). Definition prima facie cause/Suppes: another event for which the original probability of the first event after the occurrence of the second event is less than the probability of the first event after the occurrence of the second event. >Events, >Probability, >Causes, >Causality. HG. H. von WrightVsSuppes: it seems doubtful to me whether this is consistent with any common or natural use of "cause" (or "prima-facie cause"). Relevance/von WrightVsSuppes: however, the relevance of an event for the probability of another event can be called a kind of "causal relevance". >Relevance._____________Explanation of symbols: Roman numerals indicate the source, arabic numerals indicate the page number. The corresponding books are indicated on the right hand side. ((s)…): Comment by the sender of the contribution. Translations: Dictionary of Arguments The note [Concept/Author], [Author1]Vs[Author2] or [Author]Vs[term] resp. "problem:"/"solution:", "old:"/"new:" and "thesis:" is an addition from the Dictionary of Arguments. If a German edition is specified, the page numbers refer to this edition. |
Suppes I P. Suppes Introduction to Logic Mineola 1999 Suppes II P. Suppes Models and Methods in the Philosophy of Science: Selected Essays New York 2010 WrightCr I Crispin Wright Truth and Objectivity, Cambridge 1992 German Edition: Wahrheit und Objektivität Frankfurt 2001 WrightCr II Crispin Wright "Language-Mastery and Sorites Paradox" In Truth and Meaning, G. Evans/J. McDowell, Oxford 1976 WrightGH I Georg Henrik von Wright Explanation and Understanding, New York 1971 German Edition: Erklären und Verstehen Hamburg 2008 |
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