@misc{Lexicon of Arguments, title = {Quotation from: Lexicon of Arguments – Concepts - Ed. Martin Schulz, 29 Mar 2024}, author = {Genz,Hennig}, subject = {Prediction}, note = {II 18 Theory/physics/Genz: the task of theory is not prediction, but explanation. Predictions are only for review. >Confirmation, >Measurements. II 45 Prediction/description/periodicity/Genz: question: the Babylonians could also predict solar eclipses without even knowing how the solar system was constructed. Solution: this was possible because the operations in the system are periodic. Example: "Saros cycle": after 6585 1/3 days there is another solar eclipse. II 46 Periodicity/prediction/understanding/Genz: due to periodicity, prediction is possible without understanding. That is not a why-explanation. II 56 Prediction/forecasting/Genz: it is not the laws that are needed, but the consequences of these laws. II 299 Prediction/Genz: example: assuming you have a program called "Grail" that predicts the results of all possible experiments, if you have it, you do not need any laws of nature. II 300 Prediction/Genz: for example, my program "Grail" can predict the results of all experiments without knowing anything about natural laws: Assuming we wanted to build a missile shield: Grail can hardly support it, because we need more for a plan: II 301 Plan/Genz: a plan must be more than just predicting results: it must have insight into the possibilities. >Planning. Problem: no program that answers questions can decide which questions make sense. For example "Grail": doubles nature for us. We could ask nature itself instead of the Grail. Grail does not contribute to their understanding (GenzVsInstrumentalism). >Instrumentalism. The program does not explain anything, but calls for an explanation (like nature). >Explanations. Theory/Genz: physical theories have only the task of explaining sensory impressions. They form systems of statements and draw verifiable experimental conclusions from them. ((s) = observation conditional ). >Observation conditional.}, note = { Gz I H. Genz Gedankenexperimente Weinheim 1999 Gz II Henning Genz Wie die Naturgesetze Wirklichkeit schaffen. Über Physik und Realität München 2002 }, file = {http://philosophy-science-humanities-controversies.com/listview-details.php?id=393909} url = {http://philosophy-science-humanities-controversies.com/listview-details.php?id=393909} }